1,069,861 JPY
+6.99%
cash 29,261 + positions 1,040,600
993,846 JPY
-0.62%
cash 690,306 + positions 303,540
925,692 JPY
-7.43%
cash 637,092 + positions 288,600
Equity Curve
neutraloptimisticpessimistic
Summary
| persona | final_nav | final_cash | final_positions_value | total_return | max_drawdown | sharpe | orders | positions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| optimistic | 1,069,861 | 29,261 | 1,040,600 | 6.99% | -4.10% | 3.2180 | 6 | {"4063.T": 100.0, "8306.T": 100.0} |
| pessimistic | 993,846 | 690,306 | 303,540 | -0.62% | -2.25% | -1.4104 | 4 | {"8306.T": 100.0, "9432.T": 100.0} |
| neutral | 925,692 | 637,092 | 288,600 | -7.43% | -8.82% | -4.8748 | 7 | {"8306.T": 100.0} |
Orders
| execution_date | persona | side | symbol | shares | fill_price | commission |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | optimistic | buy | 4063.T | 100.0000 | 6,696 | 334.8000 |
| 2026-04-14 | optimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,890 | 144.4750 |
| 2026-04-14 | neutral | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,890 | 144.4750 |
| 2026-04-14 | pessimistic | buy | 9432.T | 100.0000 | 152.6000 | 7.6300 |
| 2026-04-15 | pessimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,866 | 143.3000 |
| 2026-04-23 | optimistic | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,794 | 139.7000 |
| 2026-04-23 | neutral | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,794 | 139.7000 |
| 2026-04-23 | neutral | buy | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 6,097 | 304.8500 |
| 2026-04-23 | pessimistic | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,794 | 139.7000 |
| 2026-04-24 | optimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,782 | 139.1250 |
| 2026-04-27 | optimistic | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,745 | 137.2500 |
| 2026-04-27 | neutral | sell | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 6,016 | 300.8000 |
| 2026-04-27 | neutral | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,745 | 137.2500 |
| 2026-04-28 | neutral | buy | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 5,660 | 283.0000 |
| 2026-04-30 | optimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,868 | 143.4000 |
| 2026-04-30 | neutral | sell | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 4,968 | 248.4000 |
| 2026-04-30 | pessimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,868 | 143.4000 |
Latest Decisions
{
"decision_date": "2026-05-11",
"execution_date": "2026-05-12",
"persona": "pessimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.165,
"reason": "Already held; still the best defensive candidate because it is allowed, within minimum-lot cap, in an uptrend, and has moderate volatility."
},
{
"symbol": "9432.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.015,
"reason": "Already held as a small defensive lot; very low volatility and mild drawdown justify keeping the tiny cash-preservation exposure despite weak trend."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-11",
"execution_date": "2026-05-12",
"persona": "neutral",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.2475,
"reason": "Already held; only allowed uptrend candidate with acceptable volatility and minimum-lot weight within cap, so keep as the modest balanced exposure."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-11",
"execution_date": "2026-05-12",
"persona": "optimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "4063.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.33,
"reason": "Already held; strongest allowed uptrend candidate with high 120/60-day momentum and shallow 60-day drawdown, so keep despite minimum-lot concentration."
},
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.27,
"reason": "Already held and still in an uptrend with moderate volatility; keep as secondary exposure while rejecting weaker new entries."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-08",
"execution_date": "2026-05-11",
"persona": "pessimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.165,
"reason": "Keep one defensive uptrend lot already held: selection is allowed, minimum-lot weight is within cap, volatility is moderate, and drawdown is not severe."
},
{
"symbol": "9432.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.015234,
"reason": "Keep the very small defensive low-volatility lot already held; drawdown is mild and position size is minimal despite no uptrend."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-08",
"execution_date": "2026-05-11",
"persona": "neutral",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.2475,
"reason": "Keep the existing allowed uptrend holding; risk profile is moderate and better aligned than the available downtrend alternatives, though target is capped by mandate."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-08",
"execution_date": "2026-05-11",
"persona": "optimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "4063.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.33,
"reason": "Keep existing high-conviction momentum holding: strong 120/60/20-day returns, uptrend intact, and minimum-lot exposure remains within the optimistic cap."
},
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.265287,
"reason": "Keep existing allowed uptrend position as secondary exposure; momentum is weak but still positive enough for the aggressive mandate versus forced liquidation."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-07",
"execution_date": "2026-05-08",
"persona": "pessimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.165,
"reason": "Keep one defensive lot: selection is allowed, uptrend is true, volatility is not extreme, drawdown is moderate, and minimum-lot weight stays within the cautious cap."
},
{
"symbol": "9432.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.015206,
"reason": "Keep existing very small defensive exposure: low volatility and only mild drawdown make it acceptable despite downtrend and weak momentum."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-07",
"execution_date": "2026-05-08",
"persona": "neutral",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.2475,
"reason": "Keep the existing allowed position as the only acceptable balanced exposure: uptrend is intact, volatility is moderate, and minimum-lot weight is within cap."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-07",
"execution_date": "2026-05-08",
"persona": "optimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "4063.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.33,
"reason": "Keep existing high-conviction position: strongest allowed score, clear uptrend, positive 20/60/120-day momentum, and minimum-lot exposure remains within the optimistic cap."
},
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.263468,
"reason": "Keep existing secondary exposure: still allowed, in an uptrend, and current lot size is within both target and minimum-lot constraints despite weaker recent momentum."
}
]
}