1,072,311 JPY
+7.23%
cash 29,261 + positions 1,043,050
990,796 JPY
-0.92%
cash 690,306 + positions 300,490
922,742 JPY
-7.73%
cash 637,092 + positions 285,650
Equity Curve
neutraloptimisticpessimistic
Summary
| persona | final_nav | final_cash | final_positions_value | total_return | max_drawdown | sharpe | orders | positions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| optimistic | 1,072,311 | 29,261 | 1,043,050 | 7.23% | -4.10% | 3.4282 | 6 | {"4063.T": 100.0, "8306.T": 100.0} |
| pessimistic | 990,796 | 690,306 | 300,490 | -0.92% | -2.25% | -2.2451 | 4 | {"8306.T": 100.0, "9432.T": 100.0} |
| neutral | 922,742 | 637,092 | 285,650 | -7.73% | -8.82% | -5.2746 | 7 | {"8306.T": 100.0} |
Orders
| execution_date | persona | side | symbol | shares | fill_price | commission |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | optimistic | buy | 4063.T | 100.0000 | 6,696 | 334.8000 |
| 2026-04-14 | optimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,890 | 144.4750 |
| 2026-04-14 | neutral | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,890 | 144.4750 |
| 2026-04-14 | pessimistic | buy | 9432.T | 100.0000 | 152.6000 | 7.6300 |
| 2026-04-15 | pessimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,866 | 143.3000 |
| 2026-04-23 | optimistic | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,794 | 139.7000 |
| 2026-04-23 | neutral | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,794 | 139.7000 |
| 2026-04-23 | neutral | buy | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 6,097 | 304.8500 |
| 2026-04-23 | pessimistic | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,794 | 139.7000 |
| 2026-04-24 | optimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,782 | 139.1250 |
| 2026-04-27 | optimistic | sell | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,745 | 137.2500 |
| 2026-04-27 | neutral | sell | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 6,016 | 300.8000 |
| 2026-04-27 | neutral | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,745 | 137.2500 |
| 2026-04-28 | neutral | buy | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 5,660 | 283.0000 |
| 2026-04-30 | optimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,868 | 143.4000 |
| 2026-04-30 | neutral | sell | 9984.T | 100.0000 | 4,968 | 248.4000 |
| 2026-04-30 | pessimistic | buy | 8306.T | 100.0000 | 2,868 | 143.4000 |
Latest Decisions
{
"decision_date": "2026-05-08",
"execution_date": "2026-05-11",
"persona": "pessimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.165,
"reason": "Keep one defensive uptrend lot already held: selection is allowed, minimum-lot weight is within cap, volatility is moderate, and drawdown is not severe."
},
{
"symbol": "9432.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.015234,
"reason": "Keep the very small defensive low-volatility lot already held; drawdown is mild and position size is minimal despite no uptrend."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-08",
"execution_date": "2026-05-11",
"persona": "neutral",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.2475,
"reason": "Keep the existing allowed uptrend holding; risk profile is moderate and better aligned than the available downtrend alternatives, though target is capped by mandate."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-08",
"execution_date": "2026-05-11",
"persona": "optimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "4063.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.33,
"reason": "Keep existing high-conviction momentum holding: strong 120/60/20-day returns, uptrend intact, and minimum-lot exposure remains within the optimistic cap."
},
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.265287,
"reason": "Keep existing allowed uptrend position as secondary exposure; momentum is weak but still positive enough for the aggressive mandate versus forced liquidation."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-07",
"execution_date": "2026-05-08",
"persona": "pessimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.165,
"reason": "Keep one defensive lot: selection is allowed, uptrend is true, volatility is not extreme, drawdown is moderate, and minimum-lot weight stays within the cautious cap."
},
{
"symbol": "9432.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.015206,
"reason": "Keep existing very small defensive exposure: low volatility and only mild drawdown make it acceptable despite downtrend and weak momentum."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-07",
"execution_date": "2026-05-08",
"persona": "neutral",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.2475,
"reason": "Keep the existing allowed position as the only acceptable balanced exposure: uptrend is intact, volatility is moderate, and minimum-lot weight is within cap."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-07",
"execution_date": "2026-05-08",
"persona": "optimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "4063.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.33,
"reason": "Keep existing high-conviction position: strongest allowed score, clear uptrend, positive 20/60/120-day momentum, and minimum-lot exposure remains within the optimistic cap."
},
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.263468,
"reason": "Keep existing secondary exposure: still allowed, in an uptrend, and current lot size is within both target and minimum-lot constraints despite weaker recent momentum."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-01",
"execution_date": "2026-05-07",
"persona": "pessimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.165,
"reason": "Keep one cautious defensive lot: selection_allowed=true, uptrend=true, volatility is not extreme, and minimum-lot weight is within the cap."
},
{
"symbol": "9432.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.015427,
"reason": "Keep existing very small defensive holding: low volatility and only mild drawdown fit the capital-preservation mandate despite weak trend."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-01",
"execution_date": "2026-05-07",
"persona": "neutral",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.2475,
"reason": "Keep the existing allowed uptrend holding, but cap target at the persona limit; it is the only held trend-positive candidate within the minimum-lot cap."
}
]
}{
"decision_date": "2026-05-01",
"execution_date": "2026-05-07",
"persona": "optimistic",
"targets": [
{
"symbol": "4063.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.33,
"reason": "Keep strongest allowed momentum holding: uptrend=true with strong 20/60/120-day returns; current overweight is acceptable under the minimum-lot mandate."
},
{
"symbol": "8306.T",
"accepted": true,
"target_weight": 0.274459,
"reason": "Keep existing allowed uptrend holding; momentum is modest but positive and position remains within the persona's target cap."
}
]
}