GPT Replay

neutral

1,085,379 JPY

+8.54%

pessimistic

1,082,062 JPY

+8.21%

optimistic

1,077,038 JPY

+7.70%

Equity Curve

neutraloptimisticpessimistic

Summary

persona	final_nav	total_return	max_drawdown	sharpe	orders	positions
neutral	1,085,379	8.54%	-2.62%	4.3659	3	{"4063.T": 100.0}
pessimistic	1,082,062	8.21%	-2.64%	4.4283	1	{"4063.T": 100.0}
optimistic	1,077,038	7.70%	-4.10%	3.6218	8	{"4063.T": 100.0, "8306.T": 100.0}

Orders

execution_date	persona	side	symbol	shares	fill_price	commission
2026-04-14	optimistic	buy	4063.T	100.0000	6,696	334.8000
2026-04-14	optimistic	buy	8306.T	100.0000	2,890	144.4750
2026-04-14	neutral	buy	4063.T	100.0000	6,696	334.8000
2026-04-15	pessimistic	buy	4063.T	100.0000	6,750	337.5000
2026-04-23	optimistic	sell	8306.T	100.0000	2,794	139.7000
2026-04-24	optimistic	buy	8306.T	100.0000	2,782	139.1250
2026-04-27	optimistic	sell	8306.T	100.0000	2,745	137.2500
2026-04-28	optimistic	buy	8306.T	100.0000	2,821	141.0500
2026-04-30	neutral	buy	8306.T	100.0000	2,868	143.4000
2026-05-01	optimistic	buy	9432.T	100.0000	151.3000	7.5650
2026-05-07	optimistic	sell	9432.T	100.0000	151.7000	7.5850
2026-05-07	neutral	sell	8306.T	100.0000	2,850	142.5000

Latest Decisions

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-08",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-11",
  "persona": "pessimistic",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.165,
      "reason": "Keep existing position only because it remains the best available positive-score uptrend holding; no additional risk is justified under the cautious mandate."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-08",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-11",
  "persona": "neutral",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.2475,
      "reason": "Keep existing position because it remains the only high-quality selectable momentum holding, with strong multi-horizon returns and intact uptrend despite oversize lot exposure."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-08",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-11",
  "persona": "optimistic",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.33,
      "reason": "Keep existing winner: strongest selectable momentum name with positive 20/60/120-day returns and intact uptrend; position is already held despite being above target due board-lot constraints."
    },
    {
      "symbol": "8306.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.264107,
      "reason": "Keep existing lot only: still in uptrend and within max target, but weak score and negative 60-day return argue against adding."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-07",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-08",
  "persona": "pessimistic",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.165,
      "reason": "Keep existing oversize board-lot position only; still positive and uptrending, but risk budget is tight."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-07",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-08",
  "persona": "neutral",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.2475,
      "reason": "Keep existing oversize board-lot position; still the only strong positive, uptrending signal."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-07",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-08",
  "persona": "optimistic",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.33,
      "reason": "Keep existing oversize board-lot position; strongest candidate with positive 20/60/120-day momentum and uptrend."
    },
    {
      "symbol": "8306.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.262326,
      "reason": "Keep existing position; signal is modest but still uptrend with positive 120-day return, while cash cannot fund stronger new lots."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-01",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-07",
  "persona": "pessimistic",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.165,
      "reason": "Keep the only high-quality existing winner: positive score, uptrend intact, strong 60/120-day returns; position remains oversize because of board-lot constraints."
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-01",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-07",
  "persona": "neutral",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.2475,
      "reason": "Keep only the clear winner: best score, strong 60/120-day returns, and uptrend intact despite oversize board-lot weight."
    },
    {
      "symbol": "8306.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.0,
      "reason": "omitted_exit"
    }
  ]
}

{
  "decision_date": "2026-05-01",
  "execution_date": "2026-05-07",
  "persona": "optimistic",
  "targets": [
    {
      "symbol": "4063.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.33,
      "reason": "Keep existing momentum leader: strongest score, uptrend intact, positive 20/60/120-day returns; already held as an oversize board-lot position."
    },
    {
      "symbol": "8306.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.273182,
      "reason": "Keep existing position: score is modest but still positive, uptrend remains true, and no cash-affordable higher-quality new candidate is available."
    },
    {
      "symbol": "9432.T",
      "accepted": true,
      "target_weight": 0.0,
      "reason": "omitted_exit"
    }
  ]
}